Physical Handicapping

Uncle Clyde inspired this handicapping guide

Many handicappers bet on horses without taking advantage of the information race horses make available to us live and in person. Sometimes that happens because the bettor does not want to spend the whole day at the race track and would rather lay some bets in the morning and then get on with whatever else their daily schedule demands. This writer does that quite often and knows first hand the cost of not evaluating the race horses’ markings and body language. Oftentimes other bettors miss out on good bets because they do not understand what to look for when evaluating a race horse in person. Those readers looking to learn what to watch for in the paddock and walking ring have found the right webpage. Just keep reading.

Many horse players discount or completely ignore the horses’ markings in the mistaken belief that the markings are random and therefore meaningless. Such a belief is the opposite of the truth and provides an advantage to those who have bothered to notice what winning horses look like. Markings provide information about genetic nuances, and in a sport where split seconds matter, nuances make the difference.

Good race horses have very few markings and appear to be almost entirely one color. Beware of race horses with no markings at all. Blazed, bald, striped, one socked, and four socked race horses take lots of money from bettors as well. Verify this by watching TVG. Look to bet on horses with a star on the forehead and two or three socks. The best horse ever, Secretariat, had a star on his forehead and a much bigger than normal heart. The caveat of evaluating markings is trainers’ use of hoods and wraps. Some trainers always hood and wrap their horses expressly to keep this valuable knowledge from the betting public. Perhaps one day the program will provide markings information to the public, but for now we just have to make do with what we have.

Trainers can hide markings, but they cannot hide body language. Unlike people, horses do not know much about disguising or hiding their emotions. Watch how the horses act before the race. For a complete explanation of a horse’s body language, a good reference is The Body Language of Horses, by Tom Ainslie and Bonnie Ledbetter. The publisher is William Morrow & Company, Inc., 1350 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY, 10019. It may be out of print, so the two most important points are paraphrased here:

  • Watch the horse’s ears. If both ears are pricked forward, it is paying attention to what is ahead and eager to get there. That is good. If both ears are facing back, the horse is paying attention to the rider. That is also good. Beware of the horse with ears that move randomly and independently. That is a sign of distraction and apprehension. Bet on eager, attentive horses. Do not bet on distracted or apprehensive horses.
  • Watch the horse’s tail. It should be held slightly up, or relaxed. Beware of the swishing tail. There are no flies at the track, so a swishing tail is a sign of discomfort, not swatting bugs. Bet on exuberant or relaxed horses. Do not bet on uncomfortable horses.

Other things to look for when physically evaluating horses are a long tail and a braided mane. A long tail improves a horse’s balance, and good balance helps a horse run faster. A braided mane got that way because someone cared enough to do it. Horses appreciate the love that goes into braiding a mane and are more than happy to show off to the other horses in the race.

One more thought: Horses like to show off to each other, and often before a race one horse will call out the other horses in the paddock. Listen to the horses in the paddock, and if a whinny goes unanswered, that horse will probably win. If another horse answers the whinny, play an exacta box. If two horses answer, then play the trifecta box.

4 Comments

  1. Mike Purling
    Posted December 11, 2008 at 9:35 am | Permalink

    I have also noticed that horses usually run very well after they relieve themselves in the post parade before the race. I guess they just feel better after getting rid of their waste.

  2. Mac
    Posted March 8, 2009 at 4:15 pm | Permalink

    Are marks good or bad that paragraph is confusing

    Good race horses have very few markings and appear to be almost entirely one color. Beware of race horses with no markings at all. Blazed, bald, striped, one socked, and four socked race horses take lots of money from bettors as well.

    Then it says to bet the horse with a star on its head. I like the idea of markings is it good or bad. Plain horse or marked?
    Thanks

  3. hop
    Posted July 31, 2009 at 4:29 am | Permalink

    nice job at dellmar
    i got a pick for you
    play starvector at arlington
    today friday 7-31-2009

  4. Secretariate
    Posted March 8, 2010 at 7:38 pm | Permalink

    He’s saying look for a star on forehead and 2 or 3 socks. As he said “very FEW markings”. NO markings at all or too many (4 socks + blazed/striped) or too few (only 1 sock) are bad bets.

    And remember, if your contender is black with lots of stripes, well then that’s called a zebra and don’t bet on them cause they rarely win except when running against allegators (or more precisely when running FROM allegators).

    Interesting to note that many good athletes are symmetrical in appearance, have wide eyes, etc. Nature seems to favor symmetry. Might be something to this. Gonna check it out.

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